Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.428677 1.639618 1.871422 2.145137 2.459651 2.809906 3.229820
2025-06-29 1.089991 1.355410 1.671367 2.075557 2.579513 3.188015 3.979943
2025-07-06 0.838264 1.116653 1.471608 1.958118 2.609024 3.451921 4.629918
2025-07-13 0.723377 1.024365 1.432297 2.026891 2.874115 4.042131 5.782320
2025-07-20 0.639489 0.956586 1.410542 2.109856 3.164456 4.702878 7.131475
2025-07-27 0.569107 0.894585 1.384227 2.177351 3.436716 5.370805 8.589578
2025-08-03 0.502640 0.826643 1.336622 2.201485 3.641141 5.958849 10.007802
2025-08-10 0.431619 0.739818 1.245430 2.139757 3.694414 6.308156 11.083025
2025-08-17 0.365141 0.650196 1.136048 2.029512 3.646223 6.475652 11.863476
2025-08-24 0.323170 0.596558 1.079646 2.001340 3.733722 6.883273 13.121774
2025-08-31 0.286587 0.547247 1.023752 1.964981 3.798636 7.254374 14.359361
2025-09-07 0.271099 0.534892 1.033217 2.051174 4.104414 8.111374 16.653612
2025-09-14 0.247444 0.504832 1.007664 2.070797 4.292935 8.787650 18.733393
2025-09-21 0.221434 0.466543 0.961116 2.042058 4.380429 9.276711 20.508521
2025-09-28 0.192564 0.418337 0.888134 1.947925 4.317008 9.444264 21.618505
2025-10-05 0.182885 0.409659 0.896279 2.029334 4.646830 10.502579 24.896420
2025-10-12 0.174715 0.403115 0.908033 2.120321 5.011566 11.691181 28.672215
2025-10-19 0.165764 0.393512 0.911625 2.192930 5.344217 12.854291 32.578209
2025-10-26 0.154505 0.376918 0.896970 2.220055 5.571552 13.800609 36.100023
2025-11-02 0.138966 0.347871 0.849197 2.159390 5.572471 14.193523 38.260991
2025-11-09 0.122392 0.313993 0.785302 2.048995 5.430004 14.204002 39.404928
2025-11-16 0.112105 0.294697 0.755010 2.021053 5.499537 14.772767 42.173566
2025-11-23 0.102456 0.275766 0.723204 1.984617 5.540944 15.272937 44.833555